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Daily Technical Analysis: [14 APR]

2025-04-14 TMGM


 

1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

Japan does not intend to use its holdings of U.S. Treasuries as a negotiating tool against U.S. tariffs during talks between the two governments scheduled for April 17. The pullback in U.S. Treasuries last week sent longer-term Treasury yields soaring to their highest level since the 2020 pandemic, deepening losses in U.S. Treasuries, which are supposed to be a safe haven from financial turmoil. Some investors speculate that global reserve managers may be reassessing their positions in U.S. Treasuries given the impact of Trump's trade policies.

 

Trend Analysis:

We can see USD/JPY rebounded at H4 level, but it is still running below the 48 hours moving average. On the other hand, the MACD double line and histogram bar converge below the zero axis. The buy limit could be used, stop loss is necessary.

 

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [142.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [144.70]
Pivot Points [142.50]

 

 

2. AUD/USD Analysis:

 

News Summary:

The slowdown in Australian and global economic growth, the RBA's expectations of rate cuts, and the uncertainty in the trade environment will continue to constrain the performance of the Australian dollar, and the fundamental pressure on the Australian dollar will continue to exist. Although the US dollar is weak, this may not be enough to drive the Australian dollar to form a sustained upward trend. A real turnaround requires a significant improvement in Australian economic data or a positive change in the RBA's policy stance, which is not easy to achieve in the current environment.

 

Trend Analysis:

We can see AUD/USD uptrend momentum is exhausted and is still running above the 48 hours moving average on H4 chart. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bar are shrinking above the zero axis. The sell limit could be placed, stop loss is mandatory.

 

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [0.6230]

Key Resistance Levels: [0.6370]

Pivot Points [0.6340]


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